Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.126040 0.139724 0.153800 0.169331 0.185952 0.203176 0.222342
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.106051 0.126718 0.149080 0.174927 0.203833 0.235021 0.271071
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.095238 0.121261 0.150622 0.185852 0.226619 0.271963 0.325859
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.086797 0.116860 0.152031 0.195577 0.247394 0.306449 0.378193
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.076103 0.108216 0.147120 0.196727 0.257286 0.327833 0.415211
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.065243 0.098029 0.139150 0.193098 0.260577 0.340801 0.441942
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.060526 0.095133 0.139765 0.199650 0.275974 0.368133 0.485877
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.055678 0.091488 0.138945 0.204001 0.288390 0.391766 0.525463
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.050856 0.087357 0.137044 0.206586 0.298326 0.412239 0.561251
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046055 0.082765 0.134099 0.207430 0.305764 0.429463 0.593038
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045659 0.084579 0.139985 0.220201 0.328907 0.466797 0.650397
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042970 0.082646 0.140382 0.225337 0.341934 0.491303 0.691811
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039919 0.080124 0.140088 0.229914 0.354912 0.516767 0.735937
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036038 0.075953 0.137160 0.230689 0.362823 0.535914 0.772507
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035060 0.076484 0.141248 0.241573 0.384772 0.573828 0.833870
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034129 0.076983 0.145239 0.252348 0.406712 0.611999 0.896011
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031112 0.073503 0.142765 0.253369 0.414838 0.631659 0.933937
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027249 0.068075 0.136830 0.248884 0.414919 0.640342 0.957355
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026170 0.067720 0.139021 0.256682 0.432598 0.673020 1.012884
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024682 0.066421 0.139546 0.261867 0.446530 0.700702 1.061994
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022942 0.064438 0.138782 0.264949 0.457378 0.724214 1.105697
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021005 0.061838 0.136785 0.265955 0.465104 0.743421 1.143720
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021449 0.064286 0.143637 0.281187 0.494112 0.792539 1.222717